CNHTC Jinan Truck (000951) Gross Margin Ascended as Expected, Selling Expense Growth Being beyond Expectation --- Cautious

  • Contributor:China Galaxy Securities
  • Date:Apr 29, 2009
  • Pages:4pages
  • Price:$60.00
  • File Type: Adobe Acrobat Reader®
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Excerpts:

Event

The company announced its Q1 2009 report today, according to which, it realized operating revenue of Rmb4.047bn (-14.07% yoy), net profit attributable to shareholders of listed company of Rmb56.2mn (-63.56% yoy) and EPS of Rmb0.13.

 

Our Analysis and Estimation

 

Sales volume of Q1 2009 gradually recovers; market share rapidly surges.

 

Sales expense substantially ascends owing to sales ascension.

 

2009 performance is sourced from scale recovery of production & sales as well as gross margin surge.

 

Investment Suggestion

According to status in Q1 2009, we upgrade its 2009 sales expense ratio and slightly upgrade 2009 sales forecast; 2009-2011E EPS is predicted to be Rmb1.07, Rmb1.58 and Rmb1.75 respectively, representing 2009 P/E ratio at 20x, which is above the industrial average, thus “Cautious” rating is hereby maintained for the counter.


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