Shanghai Bashi Industrial Group (600741) Auto Component Bellwether on the Rise --- Cautious

  • Contributor:China Galaxy Securities
  • Date:Mar 24, 2009
  • Pages:5pages
  • Price:$80.00
  • File Type: Adobe Acrobat Reader®
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Excerpts:

Event

The company’s proposal on important assets sales & assets acquisition through share issuance has been approved by CSRC, and assets restructuring has come to the end. Upon completion of this transaction, the company will become an independent large-scale blue-chip company of competitiveness with main businesses of auto component R&D, manufacturing and sales. As a result, its profitability and sustainable development will be greatly strengthened, and it will wholly go public as an independent auto component supplier. As of issuing of the announcement, its rising margin is reported to be 6%, which reflects promotion of investment value after change of the main business.   

 

Our Analysis and Estimation

As a sub-sector bellwether, the acquired company owns strong R&D and manufacturing ability.

 

Mature & qualified system

 

Assembly supply promoting profitability

 

Follow-up growth to be potential

 

Investment Suggestion

We forecast the company’s EPS in 2008-2010E to be Rmb0.4, Rmb0.44 and Rmb0.5 respectively. As far as we are concerned, previous surge mainly reflected investment value variation after main business change, and future share price raise will depend on rebound of evaluation as well as valuation bargaining brought by performance growth. As an auto component bellwether, its valuation should at least be the sector average. Based on present auto industry average P/E at 20x, its reasonable share price should be Rmb8.8 per share. “Cautious” rating is initially given for the counter.


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